Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000669 0.000767 0.000870 0.000987 0.001117 0.001255 0.001413
2025-04-13 0.000507 0.000639 0.000789 0.000971 0.001185 0.001426 0.001716
2025-04-20 0.000438 0.000588 0.000766 0.000992 0.001267 0.001588 0.001987
2025-04-27 0.000382 0.000543 0.000744 0.001007 0.001337 0.001733 0.002240
2025-05-04 0.000328 0.000493 0.000706 0.000995 0.001369 0.001828 0.002429
2025-05-11 0.000282 0.000447 0.000668 0.000976 0.001386 0.001903 0.002592
2025-05-18 0.000255 0.000423 0.000655 0.000989 0.001443 0.002027 0.002817
2025-05-25 0.000228 0.000396 0.000637 0.000992 0.001485 0.002129 0.003016
2025-06-01 0.000195 0.000358 0.000598 0.000961 0.001478 0.002167 0.003131
2025-06-08 0.000168 0.000324 0.000562 0.000933 0.001472 0.002202 0.003241
2025-06-15 0.000151 0.000304 0.000546 0.000930 0.001500 0.002284 0.003414
2025-06-22 0.000136 0.000286 0.000530 0.000928 0.001528 0.002366 0.003587
2025-06-29 0.000120 0.000266 0.000511 0.000918 0.001545 0.002434 0.003745
2025-07-06 0.000105 0.000245 0.000487 0.000901 0.001549 0.002483 0.003877
2025-07-13 0.000098 0.000238 0.000488 0.000921 0.001611 0.002616 0.004129
2025-07-20 0.000091 0.000230 0.000484 0.000935 0.001662 0.002732 0.004361
2025-07-27 0.000080 0.000215 0.000467 0.000924 0.001674 0.002793 0.004512
2025-08-03 0.000070 0.000198 0.000446 0.000906 0.001674 0.002834 0.004636
2025-08-10 0.000065 0.000192 0.000443 0.000918 0.001722 0.002948 0.004868
2025-08-17 0.000059 0.000183 0.000435 0.000921 0.001753 0.003038 0.005065
2025-08-24 0.000051 0.000166 0.000410 0.000892 0.001733 0.003046 0.005141
2025-08-31 0.000043 0.000151 0.000387 0.000865 0.001713 0.003056 0.005218
2025-09-07 0.000039 0.000143 0.000378 0.000862 0.001734 0.003128 0.005392